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Leave a comment »Thoughts on this September 11th
Every generation has a mark, an event. You remember where you were when this or that happened. You can stop, think, remember exactly where you were, what you were doing. Unfortunately for many, their generation has many tragic events that they can do each of the above for. Such an event happened on September 11th, 2001. Today is the 7th anniversary of the horror that happened throughout the east coast of the United States. To each of us, this is something deeply personal. I was in Mr. Teddy Colliers 11th Grade US History class. We had just purchased warm Chocolate Chip cookies from the class next door which was a fashion merchandising class. They sold them to raise money for their club. Walking into class, the TV was on. Mr. Collier was silent. We all sat and watched in horror as the 2nd plane hit the twin towers. Fire, hell, brimstone. Little did I know this would be the first significant mark on my generation. America was changed that very day.
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Leave a comment »Congrats Columbia SC Real Estate! You now own Freddie and Fannie!Here are some excerpts from the press conference on the Government taking over Freddie and Fannie. I will go more in depth on what this means to Columbia SC Real Estate!
I have clearly stated three critical objectives: providing stability to financial markets, supporting the availability of mortgage finance, and protecting taxpayers both by minimizing the near term costs to the taxpayer and by setting policymakers on a course to resolve the systemic risk created by the inherent conflict in the GSE structure. What hes talking about in terms of the inherent conflict is that Fannie and Freddie are essentially government institutions with shareholders and that creates a conflict of who do they serve - the shareholders or the common good? I attribute the need for todays action primarily to the inherent conflict and flawed business model embedded in the GSE structure, and to the ongoing housing correction. GSE managements and their Boards are responsible for neither. New CEOs supported by new non-executive Chairmen have taken over management of the enterprises, and we hope and expect that the vast majority of key professionals will remain in their jobs. Out with the old, in with the new - and we hope that the main people besides for upper management dont leave. First, Treasury and FHFA have established Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements, contractual agreements between the Treasury and the conserved entities. Under these agreements, Treasury will ensure that each company maintains a positive net worth. That means that if Fannie or Freddie has a bad quarter and loses enough so that they become upside down, we get to turn on the faucet and fill them up with more cash. Your cash and mine. It is more efficient than a one-time equity injection, because it will be used only as needed and on terms that Treasury has set. On an as needed basis - as often as needed and on terms the Treasury has set (only when they go negative). Market discipline is best served when shareholders bear both the risk and the reward of their investment. While conservatorship does not eliminate the common stock, it does place common shareholders last in terms of claims on the assets of the enterprise. If you hold common stock in Fannie or Freddie, you are the first one to get hit with the losses. Similarly, conservatorship does not eliminate the outstanding preferred stock, but does place preferred shareholders second, after the common shareholders, in absorbing losses. The federal banking agencies are assessing the exposures of banks and thrifts to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The agencies believe that, while many institutions hold common or preferred shares of these two GSEs, only a limited number of smaller institutions have holdings that are significant compared to their capital. If you hold preferred stock, you are second in line to get hit with the losses. Oh, and we know that a lot of banks own preferred stock in Fannie and Freddie and thats not going to be healthy for their books. But its only going to sink a couple of banks, so thats a worthwhile risk. Tell that to those banks! The second step Treasury is taking today is the establishment of a new secured lending credit facility which will be available to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Home Loan Banks. Fannie and Freddie need cash in order to keep on writing loans. Lots and lots of cash. Finally, to further support the availability of mortgage financing for millions of Americans, Treasury is initiating a temporary program to purchase GSE MBS. That means that they are going to pick up the slack, I mean we, are going to pick up the slack and start buying the loans that Fannie and Freddie are packaging and selling. And let me make clear what todays actions mean for Americans and their families. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are so large and so interwoven in our financial system that a failure of either of them would cause great turmoil in our financial markets here at home and around the globe. This turmoil would directly and negatively impact household wealth: from family budgets, to home values, to savings for college and retirement. A failure would affect the ability of Americans to get home loans, auto loans and other consumer credit and business finance. And a failure would be harmful to economic growth and job creation. That is why we have taken these actions today. The consequences of allowing Fannie and Freddie to go under were simply too big and too disastrous to make that possible. Think Nightmare on Elm Street, Doomsday scenario for the financial markets…… Because the GSEs are Congressionally-chartered, only Congress can address the inherent conflict of attempting to serve both shareholders and a public mission. The new Congress and the next Administration must decide what role government in general, and these entities in particular, should play in the housing market. There is a consensus today that these enterprises pose a systemic risk and they cannot continue in their current form. Government support needs to be either explicit or non-existent, and structured to resolve the conflict between public and private purposes. The discussion needs to take place on what are Fannie and Freddie going to look like down the road. The future of mortgage lending will end up looking much different than it does now. Ill have more as I have the chance. Tom Vanderwell Posted in Mortgage Information |
1 comment »With Hurricane Hanna Coming, Does the Columbia SC Real Estate Market Need To WorryIf you are like me, you may have spent a part of your Labor Day watching Hurricane Gustav tear apart the Gulf of Mexico. I feel for those people. Luckily, this time, they were better prepared than they were for Hurricane Katrina. Hurricanes are a significant threat to Real Estate. Columbia SC Real Estate had felt the detriment during Hurricane Hugo back in 1989. This category storm reaked havoc on SC, making landfall at a Category 4. Currently, Columbia SC Real Estate needs to be bracing for Hurricane Hanna. It is on its way, but what do you need to do?
Above is the projected path as of September 1st.
At the NOAA, you can find a family preparedness plan. This is important. Even though we rarely feel the wrath of a hurricane in the Columbia SC Real Estate market, it is possible. Concerning your house, you need to make sure your Homeowners Insurance is paid up. Also, go over your policy and make sure you are covered for the correct amounts. More than likely, you do not have flood insurance. This is a good coverage to purchase. You may not be in the 50 or 100 year flood zone, as most of the Columbia SC Real Estate Market is not, however, it is always better safe than sorry. If need be, board up the windows on your home. We rarely (not in my lifetime) have had to do this. If you have to leave the area, have a plan in place. Where are you going? Do you have food and water in case you are stranded. Most importantly, have a plan for your pets! Fido and fluffy need to be taken care of too. I have 3 dogs and 5 cats. Have a plan so these animals do not end up hurt, stranded, or worse. I hope these tips will definitely help you in securing your home and person in case of a Hurricane in Columbia SC Real Estate.
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Leave a comment »Columbia SC Real Estate Mortgage Market Week In ReviewHappy Labor Day weekend! I hope that you take some time to enjoy a very relaxing weekend on the last long weekend of the summer. Due to the fact that its the Holiday Weekend, Im not going to make this as long as some of the others have been. So heres whats been going on in the mortgage world:
1. Fannie and Freddie - while nothing has changed substantially, the immediate market fears over Fannie and Freddie have diminished somewhat in the Columbia SC Real Estate Market. I guess you could describe it as a situation where its still cloudy and rainy, but the worst of the storm has passed for now.
2. Credit Markets - there is continuing fear and questions regarding the status of the credit markets. How big of a problem is there floating under the water yet? Ive heard rumblings that as Fannie and Freddies shares have fallen in value and as its rumored that when (not if) the Fed does bail out Fannie and Freddie, the shares will go to zero. Many banks own substantial shares in those two companies and a reduction in their holdings to zero will require additional writedowns and additional belt tightening on their parts. That doesnt bode well for the health of the banks. Speaking of banks, theres some questions about a certain bank out in California (Washington Mutual) because they are currently offering CD rates that are approximately 25% higher than the going rates most banks are paying. The thinking is that they are paying higher rates because they need cash and need it desperately.
3. Economic reports - the Gross Domestic Product report came in much stronger than expected. Does that mean that the economy is going well? Lets put it this way, the aircraft industry had a very good quarter. The vast majority of the increase came because of the aircraft industry. Apparently some airlines are upgrading their fleets to improve fuel efficiency. Consumer Confidence came in higher than expected as well. The market consensus seemed to be that it was because the drop in oil prices is making people feel better because they arent paying as much at the pump. Personal incomes fell in July (not good). Inflation numbers came in higher than anticipated and that put some pressure on the bond markets.
4. Home Sales - Im
starting to see and hear some anecdotal evidence of certain parts of
the housing market showing some signs of life. What parts?
Distressed portions of certain markets, like the foreclosure and short
sale markets in some areas, are starting to move faster. Is this a
sign of a bottom? Its too early to tell. I really think
that before we see a bottom in the housing market, were going to need
a couple of things: 1) A stabilization in house prices (so far the
house price indexes are showing that the rate of decrease is slowing,
but it hasnt stopped yet). 2) A reduction in inventory levels.
So could some of the signs that were seeing lead us to say 6 months
from now that this was the beginning of the bottom? Very well could
be, but its too early to tell for sure. Oh, and will some of these
things happen sooner in some areas than others? Absolutely.
5. Oil and the guy named Gustav - theres a lot of nervousness on what the pending Hurricane could do to the oil production in the Gulf. I can imagine that the Weather Channels ratings are going to be pretty high this weekend. How does that effect mortgages? If oil production takes a major hit, we could be looking at higher gas prices which will be a drain on the economy.
With all of that, rates have actually drifted down a bit this week. Until next week….. Thanks!
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Leave a comment »Housing and Economic Recovery Act May Help First Time Homebuyers in the Columbia SC Real Estate MarketThere may be some help on the horizon for First Time Home buyers in the Columbia SC Real Estate market. President Bush signed the new Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 back in August, but it takes affect October 1st. The good news is that the new law provides a Tax Credit for qualified First Time Home buyers purchasing a Columbia SC Real Estate Home. First off, What is a first time home buyer as this law states? A first time home buyer is a buyer who has not purchased a home in the past 3 years. The first time home buyer tax credit is available to Columbia SC Real Estate purchasers who purchase their house between April 09, 2008 and July 01, 2009. The allowable credit amount is 10% of the purchase price up to a maximum $7,500. People who file singly with modified adjusted gross incomes up to $75,000 are eligible for the tax credit. Married couples with adjusted gross incomes up to $150,000 are eligible. Therefore, if you make under $75,000 a year and file alone, or you and your spouse make under $150,000 a year, and you file jointly, you are considered eligible. Therefore, if you purchase a Quail Valley Columbia, SC home for $150,000, you will only get the $7,500. Please note this, this is a temporary tax credit. This tax credit will be recaptured (you will have to repay it) up to the next 15 years while you own the house, or when the home is sold. This credit provides incentives to purchasers who are first time home buyers to purchase a home. It recognises that there is a problem with the market, and it is an attempt to help bring back the market, as well as provide home ownership to first time home buyers. Another provision of this bill is FHA Modernization. Yes, its a big word. More or less, the FHA is increasing the insured loan amounts up to 115% of the average of areas, up to $625,000. This alone will allow the FHA to guarantee $300 Billion of loans made to the Columbia SC Real Estate market, as well as the rest of the United States as well. As well, through the FHA Modernization, the FHA has increased its down payment from 3% to 3.5%, as well as gotten rid of the majority of down payment assistance programs such as Nehemiah . All in all, this bill was made to be a temporary stimulus providing incentive to buyers looking to purchase a home to go ahead and do it. What more do you need?
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